A new long-range seasonal forecast has officially dropped, and southern Ontario might get to enjoy a surprisingly mild start to the upcoming late-fall weather before a dramatic temperature shift.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac has released its November outlook for the region, and it’s predicting a mix of lingering sunny stretches, late-month flurries, and overall warmer-than-average temperatures.
Overall, November is set to be milder than usual across the region, averaging 4.5 C – which is 1 C above average in eastern areas and a full 4 C above normal out west. It will also be significantly drier than typical autumn months, dropping roughly 45mm of total precipitation, which sits 25mm below the seasonal norm.
The first half of the month will feel surprisingly pleasant. The initial week opens with sunny, unusually warm conditions that stretch through November 6, giving locals a few extra days to enjoy outdoor patios and crisp autumn strolls. Light warmth lingers into the second week, bringing a brief round of light showers to eastern districts while the west continues to soak up plenty of late-fall sunshine through November 11.
A sharp pivot in the atmosphere begins mid-month. From November 12 through November 17, bright skies remain, but temperatures drop rapidly, bringing the season’s first true taste of chilly, crisp air. That drop deepens into cool, wintry conditions from November 18 to November 22, delivering the region’s first notable snowfall of the season.
A quick burst of mild air and rain showers offers a short respite from November 23 to November 26, but it will not last long. The month wraps up under colder skies with steady flurries moving in between November 27 and November 30, setting a decidedly winter backdrop just in time for the start of December.
You can check out the full extended winter outlook and detailed regional breakdowns here on their website.
