The scorching summer heat waves and smoky skies might have you wishing for sweater weather, but Ontario’s upcoming autumn is shaping up to be a bit of a wild ride.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac has officially dropped its Canadian fall forecast for 2026, giving us an early look at what to expect once the leaves start to change. While a good portion of the country is coasting into a milder autumn overall, Ontario is slated to get hit with a distinctly “cool and wet” season.
If you are planning your cozy weekend getaways or looking forward to perfect pumpkin patch weather, you might want to pack an extra layer and an umbrella. According to the Almanac’s signature long-range tracking, southern Ontario will kick off September with temperatures hitting cooler-than-normal digits. Things are expected to bounce back slightly by October, returning to a more familiar, seasonal baseline.
The real story this year, however, is the rain. Precipitation totals are expected to climb above the usual averages right across the province. Southeastern Ontario is predicted to get drenched with “well above average” rainfall, while southwestern regions will see a “slightly above average” soaking.
Before we officially trade in our sunglasses for rain boots on September 22, the Almanac also notes that August will serve up its own mixed bag, including a few final warm stretches and scattered thunderstorms to close out the summer season.
You can check out the full regional breakdown and maps directly on the Old Farmer’s Almanac website.